Therefore, we estimated median percent change in outcome parameters from pre-introduction. Because indirect effects in mixed groups of targeted and non-targeted age-groups are difficult to separate from direct effects among targeted children within them, we compared single-dose coverage rates (the highest possible measure of coverage), where known, with rates of decrease in IPD in these groups. Where the latter exceed the former, an indirect component is suggested. Quality assessment: Articles were graded using the Child Health Epidemiology Research Group modification Kinase Inhibitor Library mouse of the GRADE criteria

[25]. This approach evaluates the evidential quality of each article and then the strength of the total body of evidence. Primary evidence was found in 46 studies, and supporting evidence in 57 (Fig. 2), representing 13 countries, and 33 populations. Appendix B.2 describes excluded data points. Virtually all primary IPD and carriage data came from developed countries (Fig. 3). Primary IPD data points were identified for 12 distinct populations, in nine countries, from North America, Europe, and Oceania; primary carriage data NU7441 mw points were identified for five populations, in five countries, from Resveratrol five regions. IPD was defined

using only blood or only CSF specimens in three studies [26], [27] and [28], urine antigen (for non-bacteremic pneumococcal pneumonia cases) in one study [29], and pneumococcal-specific ICD codes in one study [10]; one study had an unspecified diagnostic

standard. [30]. All studies evaluated PCV7 except two PCV9 carriage studies [31] and [32]. Both NP carriage and IPD changes following PCV introduction were available in four non-target groups: three indigenous population groups (Alaska Natives, American Indians and Australian aboriginals) and one general population group (Portugal) (Table 1). In general, percentage decreases in VT-IPD rates were within 20 percentage points of contemporaneous decreases in VT carriage rates, with decreases in VT-IPD usually but not always larger. In the only case of significant divergence (78% decrease in VT-carriage vs. 19% in VT-IPD), PCV introduction was confined to the private market, the NP and IPD data were not from contemporaneous time-periods, and different age-groups were represented (the target age-group vs. all residents) [33] and [34]. The major United States IPD surveillance studies, Active Bacterial Core Surveillance (ABCs) and Northern California Kaiser Permanente Database, do not include carriage surveillance.